By John McLaughlin and Jim McLaughlinWednesday, 03 March 2021 02:54 PM
In our just completed national survey of 1,000 likely voters, the polarization of the American electorate has not ended with the elections of 2020. Instead, in spite of all the promises and rhetoric political division and disunity continues into 2021.
Ironically, President Trump has left a recovering economy and historic vaccine to the benefit of President Biden, but the country remains about evenly polarized by partisan politics. This roughly equal division defines virtually every issue and the voters’ political outlooks.
Almost half the voters, 46%, say that the country is headed in the right direction, while 48% say it is on the wrong track. Democrats are more likely to say right direction 75% to 19% and Republicans say right direction only 25% and 70% wrong track. Independents say wrong track 59% and only 34% say right direction.
Similarly, the generic ballot for Congress is tied at 46% Republican and 46% Democrat. Eight percent are undecided. Republicans vote for the generic Republican for Congress 92% to 6%. Democrats vote for the generic Democrats 92% to 7% and independents split almost evenly; 39% vote Republican and 37% vote Democrat, with 24% undecided.
Recently our firm conducted the CPAC poll of conservative leaders and activists who attend their influential conference. Among the 1,007 respondents 97% approved the job President Trump had done. 95% want to continue his policies. 68% want him to run again in 2024 and in a field of 20+ potential 2024 presidential candidates, President Trump received 55% of the vote and no other candidate was close.
The left-wing D.C. media dismissed these results saying they only represent a small sliver of conservative pro-Trump activists.
In our new national voter poll, among all likely Republican primary voters which includes independents, President Trump dominates voter opinions:
- Seventy-two percent want Donald Trump to run again for President in 2024. Only 20% say no.
- If Donald Trump ran for President again in 2024, 81% would support him for the Republican nomination. Only 15% would oppose.
- If Donald Trump won the Republican nomination for President, 80% would vote for him in the election.
- In a field of 15 candidates Donald Trump wins 55% and the next closest finishers are: Mike Pence 8%, Ted Cruz 5%, Ron DeSantis 4%, Candace Owens 3%, Nikki Haley 3%, Mitt Romney 3%, and all others at 2% or less with 10% undecided.
- Without Donald Trump, if the primary election were held Donald Trump, Jr. leads with 21%, Mike Pence 15%, Ted Cruz 9%, Ron DeSantis 9%, Mitt Romney 6%, Nikki Haley 5%, Candace Owens 5%, Ivanka Trump 4% and all others received 3% or less and 17% were undecided.
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