By John McLaughlin and Jim McLaughlinMonday, 19 December 2022 01:19 PM ESTCurrent | Bio | Archive
Our most recent poll of 1,000 likely U.S. voters was conducted between Dec. 9-14, 2022.
This poll made news last week, because it differs significantly from several media polls released right before ours.
Importantly, the poll shows former President Trump strongly leading the GOP field for 2024. In fact, our polls show Trump is as strong as ever.
It’s not unusal other polls have different findings.
Historically media polls under poll President Trump’s level of support among voters.
Our poll was more favorable to President Trump than these recent media polls.
For us it’s déjà vu all over again, except we may have learned from 2016 and 2020.
In recent days there have been several media polls downplaying the ability of Donald Trump to win the 2024 presidential election.
Do they think that the voters have forgotten the “Hillary Lock” of 2016 and the “Biden Blue Wave” of 2020?
Neither happened as they under-polled Trump’s actual voter support.
Both were very close electoral elections.
In the battleground states 2016 was decided by 78,000 votes out of 139 million cast.
2020 was decided by 44,000 out of 160 million cast.
But really comparing our poll to these media polls is like comparing apples to oranges.
Our poll was comprised of 1,000 likely voters.
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